PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7E8d54e739cd08F848c7823d246A0536b4Bcbd4B-1770325365661

0x7e8d54e739cd08f848c7823d246a0536b4bcbd4b

Realised P&L
$-50.35
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$18.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes0.6500.698$4.30+$0.30
Wild vs. Jets · Wild0.5000.495$2.97−$0.03
Oilers vs. Kings · Oilers0.5400.535$1.98−$0.02
Kraken vs. Flyers · Kraken0.4900.485$1.98−$0.02
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets · Panthers0.4700.465$1.98−$0.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3700.365$1.97−$0.03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3000.285$1.90−$0.10
Stars vs. Avalanche · Avalanche0.5400.535$0.99−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Toronto Argonauts vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders · Toronto Argonauts0.7700.000$0.00−$8.00
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche0.6100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00−$1.00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.5000.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 04:15Bills vs. RamsSELL0.999$2.59
10-13 03:15Wild vs. JetsBUY0.5$3.00
10-13 03:15Kraken vs. FlyersBUY0.4899999584$2.00
10-13 03:15Panthers vs. Blue JacketsBUY0.469999906$2.00
10-13 03:14Stars vs. AvalancheBUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-13 03:13Oilers vs. KingsBUY0.5399999568$2.00
10-13 03:12Bills vs. RamsBUY0.77$1.00
10-13 03:11Bills vs. RamsBUY0.77$1.00
10-13 02:35Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysSELL0.16$0.52
10-13 00:28Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersSELL0.999$22.35
10-13 00:09Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.96$6.00
10-12 23:54Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.6099999116$2.00
10-12 23:45Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.8099999352$5.00
10-12 23:44Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.8099999352$5.00
10-12 23:32Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.6499999106$4.00