FiFisFisFisFishFishFish
0x7e86fe455cd5a6618789cad0fec2f373deae4c0f
- Realised P&L
- $-829.72
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $72.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.365 | $38.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.316 | 0.385 | $18.25 | +$3.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.130 | $15.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.008 | $0.88 | −$2.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$16.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$24.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$24.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$14.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.49at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
- +$123.54at 0.611Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
- +$115.53at 0.377Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
- +$110.37at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
- +$105.54at 0.275Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3163951929 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3615325219 | $38.00 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0272767182 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1275351633 | $15.00 |
| 08-03 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1499999929 | $17.00 |
| 08-03 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $17.07 |
| 08-03 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 08-03 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0815554251 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.64 |
| 08-02 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2255609506 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2905078588 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2250824957 | $25.00 |