Airkpe
0x7e7dcc584f2bbf1a4d07749ddee4a863d50ea839
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $75.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.049 | $50.26 | −$149.74 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $15.62 | −$4.98 |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.049 | $9.21 | −$5.79 |
| Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.95 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$516.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.446Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$566.63at 0.432Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$236.20at 0.465Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$124.47at 0.452Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$119.24at 0.462Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 09:23 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999973 | $20.60 |
| 07-20 09:23 | Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0789972614 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 06:46 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.195001716 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 15:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $516.22 |
| 07-17 01:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4159999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-17 00:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.416 | $3.8k |
| 07-16 18:05 | Will Spain finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $19.95 |
| 07-15 22:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.1k |
| 07-15 21:18 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.999 | $442.15 |
| 07-15 21:18 | Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $222.00 |
| 07-15 21:17 | Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 07-15 00:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1932207916 | $1.2k |
| 07-14 22:24 | Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.96 |
| 07-14 22:00 | Will the third-place match be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4837321626 | $998.53 |
| 07-14 21:26 | Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.45 |