alekskakuk1
0x7e76ce9a0f4e438d616aadbc6a7c50fd51123753
- Realised P&L
- $-131.90
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $86.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 2? · No | 0.987 | 0.953 | $86.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on August 20? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.90at 0.938Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?
- +$15.33at 0.868Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 14?
- +$13.14at 0.953Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?
- +$12.43at 0.887Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?
- +$12.13at 0.943Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $90.00 |
| 10-02 16:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $81.26 |
| 10-02 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9835082456 | $80.00 |
| 10-02 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $80.48 |
| 10-02 14:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.993 | $80.00 |
| 09-30 12:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $80.60 |
| 09-30 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9805709909 | $80.00 |
| 09-25 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $82.39 |
| 09-25 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.97 | $80.00 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $85.65 |
| 09-22 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9329999996 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $73.31 |
| 09-15 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9538637337 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 15:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $71.06 |
| 09-15 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9799999922 | $70.00 |