PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7E57D6216DC69f9a27134aF5d48c1b21702AB095-1761653520798

0x7e57d6216dc69f9a27134af5d48c1b21702ab095

Realised P&L
$166.78
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$35.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8700.888$17.77+$0.37
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No0.9500.875$17.50$1.50
Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers0.1400.000$0.00$62.09
Wizards vs. Knicks · Wizards0.0600.000$0.00$7.14
Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons0.8900.000$0.00$106.80
Spurs vs. Heat · Heat0.3500.000$0.00$176.75
Suns vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2290.000$0.00$89.31
Magic vs. Raptors · Magic0.4500.000$0.00$139.50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026? · No0.9200.000$0.00$19.32
Pistons vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.5600.000$0.00$173.60
Spurs vs. Kings · Kings0.1400.000$0.00$34.02
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans · Pelicans0.3700.000$0.00$258.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 09:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.912$5.39
08-29 09:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.918$5.43
08-25 09:51Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.86$15.48
08-25 09:51Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.961$19.21
07-29 07:18Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$15.48
06-24 09:42Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.66$95.75
05-27 06:53Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6892556021$100.00
05-23 09:00US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.938$17.82
04-18 09:34Hawks vs. KnicksBUY0.68$266.78
04-08 10:24Hawks vs. CavaliersBUY0.53$206.02
04-06 10:4976ers vs. SpursBUY0.77$151.87
03-31 08:01Raptors vs. PistonsBUY0.57$166.59
03-30 11:14Bulls vs. SpursBUY0.95$104.20
03-29 11:44Magic vs. RaptorsBUY0.45$139.50
03-28 08:15Pistons vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.56$173.60