PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7E5246ABED17A5cFF43A17B55B30F982f45200f5-1771073039758

0x7e5246abed17a5cff43a17b55b30f982f45200f5

Realised P&L
$-41.3k
Volume
$3.79M
Markets traded
1,106
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,106
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0620.017$679.03−$1.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0980.134$520.67+$139.89
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · Yes0.1000.055$275.00−$225.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1? · Yes0.1160.085$151.25−$54.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0480.012$67.75−$205.12
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 27? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$233.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$805.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$755.98
Gibraltar vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$115.00
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.8k
Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5 · Over0.1560.000$0.00−$1.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.2050.000$0.00−$187.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:33Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?BUY0.07$9.06
10-01 17:32Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1?SELL0.1652958981$184.20
10-01 17:24Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?BUY0.11$16.50
10-01 17:05Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1?BUY0.013$1.38
10-01 17:04Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?BUY0.12$180.00
10-01 14:35Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.098$490.00
10-01 14:35Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.0481315096$18.09
10-01 13:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.01585$1.58
10-01 13:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.023$2.30
10-01 13:41Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.11$29.37
10-01 13:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?SELL0.34$340.00
10-01 13:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?BUY0.24$24.00
10-01 13:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?SELL0.052$10.40
10-01 13:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?BUY0.25$250.00
10-01 13:10Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?BUY0.21$7.32