PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4omgz9iu1vt7

0x7e455340337255259937c7eecc1dbcc89d0d4815

Realised P&L
$-233.69
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$7.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1850.029$5.40$29.06
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4870.022$2.26$47.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 13:43Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.025$10.04
07-08 13:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.029$0.29
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.023$0.10
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.023$0.04
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.023$0.10
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.023$0.10
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.024$0.10
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.0232178254$6.40
07-08 13:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.034$0.63
07-08 13:27Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0689999987$50.00
07-06 22:13Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?BUY0.8847617072$50.00
07-04 14:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3732330791$15.66
07-04 13:51Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.31$4.52
07-04 13:51Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.327$7.19
07-04 13:30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.325$1.78