4omgz9iu1vt7
0x7e455340337255259937c7eecc1dbcc89d0d4815
- Realised P&L
- $-233.69
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $7.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.029 | $5.40 | −$29.06 |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.022 | $2.26 | −$47.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.37at 0.332Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$90.35at 0.307Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$82.60at 0.538Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?
- +$80.95at 0.490Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
- +$66.20at 0.485Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 13:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.025 | $10.04 |
| 07-08 13:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.10 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.04 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.10 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.10 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.10 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.0232178254 | $6.40 |
| 07-08 13:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.63 |
| 07-08 13:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0689999987 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 22:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? | BUY | 0.8847617072 | $50.00 |
| 07-04 14:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3732330791 | $15.66 |
| 07-04 13:51 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.52 |
| 07-04 13:51 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.327 | $7.19 |
| 07-04 13:30 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.325 | $1.78 |