pogodynka
0x7e445d8d08bc305f55f0ef8de11d75b752b42c35
- Realised P&L
- $-48.68
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $61.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.09at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?
- +$77.23at 0.589Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?
- +$71.43at 0.586Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?
- +$63.31at 0.366Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1?
- +$53.43at 0.538Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999726 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4399999137 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5899999537 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499998725 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4899999087 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7699998415 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499998725 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4699999217 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499998897 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499998725 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499998725 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4599998196 | $1.02 |