pogodynka
0x7e445d8d08bc305f55f0ef8de11d75b752b42c35
- Realised P&L
- $297.77
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 663
- Open portfolio
- $51.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded663
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.76at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?
- +$74.96at 0.601Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?
- +$69.37at 0.598Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?
- +$68.80at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?
- +$52.06at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2155802862 | $3.39 |
| 09-19 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.4099999599 | $3.37 |
| 09-18 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2099999966 | $3.10 |
| 09-18 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 19:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4399999863 | $7.68 |
| 09-18 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3799999838 | $2.34 |
| 09-18 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 16:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6499999122 | $1.11 |
| 09-18 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6899999391 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.3299999687 | $2.11 |
| 09-18 13:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6699997502 | $1.69 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.6899999569 | $3.20 |
| 09-18 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299998077 | $1.02 |
| 09-17 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.74 |