0x7e41efc0be685a7f00cefcd9c65aeea4468bc082
0x7e41efc0be685a7f00cefcd9c65aeea4468bc082
- Realised P&L
- $42.59
- Volume
- $318.68
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $28.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.260 | $28.80 | −$24.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.62at 0.381Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?
- +$13.97at 0.404Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 18:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.48 | $53.16 |
| 09-30 15:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $56.75 |
| 09-30 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.3633904657 | $25.78 |
| 09-30 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.841 | $27.77 |
| 09-30 08:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4299999855 | $4.75 |
| 09-30 07:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |