luckydees
0x7e418bf276b3462235a09c51fa8dda146b5aca06
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 1,838
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,838
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.098 | $1.1k | +$457.45 |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Aryna Sabalenka | 0.840 | 0.835 | $100.20 | −$0.60 |
| Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.900 | 0.900 | $90.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.085 | $18.70 | −$86.90 |
| Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $15.45 | +$0.15 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$40.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.593Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet
- +$700.00at 0.805Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova
- +$514.70at 0.741Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Bueno
- +$498.00at 0.750Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova
- +$391.70at 0.829Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:49 | Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Real Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $24.29 |
| 08-08 15:43 | Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.31 |
| 08-08 09:30 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.84 | $100.80 |
| 08-08 09:14 | Gimnastica Segoviana CF vs. Atletico Madrid B: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.925 | $92.50 |
| 08-08 02:20 | National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala | SELL | 0.83 | $124.50 |
| 08-08 00:38 | National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.7 | $105.00 |
| 08-07 22:26 | National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.85 | $106.75 |
| 08-07 20:20 | National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 08-07 20:12 | National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.98 | $2.0k |
| 08-07 19:23 | Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 08-07 18:59 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 08-07 18:50 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-07 18:48 | National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.983 | $983.00 |
| 08-07 18:14 | Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-07 17:41 | AD Ceuta vs. Malaga CF: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9832402235 | $19.36 |