luckydees
0x7e418bf276b3462235a09c51fa8dda146b5aca06
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $2.13M
- Markets traded
- 2,346
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,346
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.968 | 1.000 | $599.70 | +$18.73 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.950 | 1.000 | $499.75 | +$24.75 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.043 | $349.99 | −$119.54 |
| Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.960 | 1.000 | $199.90 | +$7.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.597Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet
- +$625.63at 0.813Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova
- +$493.84at 0.751Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Bueno
- +$479.15at 0.759Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova
- +$378.17at 0.543US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.1k |
| 09-24 20:06 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.934952379 | $467.47 |
| 09-24 19:21 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.9938371558 | $989.30 |
| 09-24 19:17 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.927 | $92.70 |
| 09-24 19:12 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.936 | $93.60 |
| 09-24 19:11 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9384 | $93.84 |
| 09-24 19:08 | Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.949 | $94.90 |
| 09-24 19:03 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.951 | $475.50 |
| 09-24 19:02 | Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 09-24 19:00 | Portugal vs. Wales: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9699355 | $484.97 |
| 09-24 18:55 | Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 09-24 18:42 | Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.966 | $92.19 |
| 09-24 18:42 | Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 09-24 17:43 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.9275813667 | $2.8k |