pl44
0x7e3ccdc151074d7ee411b14d1d00f54edff0a6c6
- Realised P&L
- $-10.37
- Volume
- $108.36
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.632 | 0.964 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.450 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.26at 0.382Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
- +$0.24at 0.885Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate
- +$0.00at 0.788Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck
- +$-0.07at 0.827Curitiba: Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:55 | Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:07 | Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6319997927 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 23:41 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | SELL | 0.49 | $1.32 |
| 09-29 23:35 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:20 | Curitiba: Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon | SELL | 0.78 | $0.94 |
| 09-29 14:20 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | SELL | 0.8 | $1.02 |
| 09-29 14:19 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate | SELL | 0.99 | $2.25 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:03 | Curitiba: Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:54 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 21:10 | Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | BUY | 0.1199999907 | $10.81 |