whataxrixxy
0x7e3a5a3e88f62128cbdfc02f587eda9924691fe5
- Realised P&L
- $-69.10
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.385 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.100 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Cristina Bucsa win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Serena Williams be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.62at 0.019Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$13.78at 0.090Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
- +$12.50at 0.362Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?
- +$5.71at 0.404Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
- +$5.61at 0.293Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.0974687939 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0193610842 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.08 |
| 10-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.4675324432 | $3.00 |
| 10-15 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 01:25 | Will Cristina Bucsa win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:25 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 09-05 01:22 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:22 | Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:22 | Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:22 | Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:21 | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 01:21 | Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.060999945 | $1.00 |