0x7e324be97126dd71b93ac95c1f5c24d1730e18dc
0x7e324be97126dd71b93ac95c1f5c24d1730e18dc
- Realised P&L
- $5.00
- Volume
- $175.98
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $2.81
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.675 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.115 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.075 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.055 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.065 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.040 | $0.13 | −$0.88 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? · Yes | 0.339 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.86at 0.258Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.49at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$2.18at 0.379S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- +$1.84at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8? | BUY | 0.3389999434 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:27 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:13 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:37 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:31 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |