PolyBot

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Traders

hogz2025

0x7e2ec87d8cabe544efeac97be2ae8c23b9d7236c

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$27.6k
Markets traded
576
Open portfolio
$548.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded576
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 07:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?SELL0.99$17.36
10-22 07:38Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?SELL0.961$28.95
10-22 05:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?BUY0.25$1.25
10-22 03:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?SELL0.87$35.30
10-22 02:28Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?BUY0.6999999899$13.89
10-22 02:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?BUY0.6475890064$13.43
10-21 16:56Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?SELL0.72$3.28
10-21 16:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?BUY0.8396697329$449.75
10-21 15:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?SELL0.795134443$12.42
10-21 15:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?BUY0.1987207951$4.21
10-21 14:59Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?SELL0.01$2.00
10-21 14:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?BUY0.05$10.00
10-21 14:55Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?SELL0.03$0.35
10-21 14:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?BUY0.4007342514$1.81
10-21 14:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?BUY0.0312770351$4.47