hogz2025
0x7e2ec87d8cabe544efeac97be2ae8c23b9d7236c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $27.6k
- Markets traded
- 576
- Open portfolio
- $548.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded576
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.10at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$222.97at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$177.51at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$163.35at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$155.49at 0.624Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.99 | $17.36 |
| 10-22 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.961 | $28.95 |
| 10-22 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-22 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.87 | $35.30 |
| 10-22 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6999999899 | $13.89 |
| 10-22 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6475890064 | $13.43 |
| 10-21 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.28 |
| 10-21 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.8396697329 | $449.75 |
| 10-21 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.795134443 | $12.42 |
| 10-21 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.1987207951 | $4.21 |
| 10-21 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.35 |
| 10-21 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.4007342514 | $1.81 |
| 10-21 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0312770351 | $4.47 |