PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lebakaspeppi

0x7e2335b4712279db9ca0eba6065d244b2f027896

Realised P&L
$-707.92
Volume
$51.4k
Markets traded
1,130
Open portfolio
$35.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,130
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · Yes0.3440.365$10.58+$0.60
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6400.645$5.03+$0.04
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8600.865$5.02+$0.03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8700.875$5.02+$0.03
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9740.970$4.97−$0.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8100.805$4.96−$0.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$9.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.9100.000$0.00−$9.20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00−$6.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.8800.000$0.00−$6.30
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.8700.000$0.00−$6.37
Colombia vs. Chile · Colombia0.9780.000$0.00−$40.10
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00−$6.37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.8900.000$0.00−$9.90
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.8900.000$0.00−$4.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 10:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.3599999769$4.99
10-06 06:49Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.859999938$4.99
10-05 21:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8699998762$4.99
10-05 20:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.3299999808$4.99
10-05 16:01Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$4.99
10-05 15:06Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999773$4.99
10-05 14:25Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9739999984$4.99
07-04 20:54Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?BUY0.979$40.14
07-04 18:27Cameroon vs. LibyaBUY0.972$39.85
07-04 07:06Will MrBeast's next video get between 59.25 and 60 million views in week 1?BUY0.98$40.18
07-04 03:20Mexico vs. NicaraguaBUY0.967047619$40.62
07-04 01:35Colombia vs. ChileBUY0.978$40.10
07-02 21:24Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?BUY0.976$40.02
07-02 01:04Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?BUY0.976$40.02
07-01 07:25Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?BUY0.976$40.02