0x7e1f47ca4ad8cb4757f73a03d84de58dd166a9fe
0x7e1f47ca4ad8cb4757f73a03d84de58dd166a9fe
- Realised P&L
- $-18.58
- Volume
- $431.12
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $0.65 | −$0.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.773 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · New York Yankees | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov · Cameron Norrie | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo · Toronto Tempo | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox · Los Angeles Angels | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.57at 0.321Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$4.14at 0.552Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$2.66at 0.511Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.59at 0.562Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Draw at halftime?
- +$1.41at 0.422Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:04 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:15 | Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 18:17 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 23:23 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.69 | $22.25 |
| 09-09 23:02 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 18:13 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 03:59 | Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 19:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $12.08 |
| 08-27 19:21 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.15 |
| 08-27 15:27 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 15:53 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.47 |
| 08-26 15:38 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 08-12 21:22 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.8699997259 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 21:13 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 20:37 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |