pandudaput
0x7e1d8decf0e2beec4adf8f69ddac4aaf601312b2
- Realised P&L
- $99.51
- Volume
- $61.8k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $13.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.989 | 0.991 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No | 0.992 | 0.993 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.25at 0.550Grizzlies vs. Suns
- +$15.08at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$4.22at 0.740Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$3.94at 0.717Trump found guilty in hush money case?
- +$2.00at 0.953Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 08-24 02:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9869999977 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.50 |
| 08-08 08:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949999585 | $12.00 |
| 08-08 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.50 |
| 07-30 12:47 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 09:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 09:06 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.00 |
| 07-03 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.9889999996 | $13.00 |
| 06-14 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? | BUY | 0.9501686015 | $40.00 |
| 06-04 09:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.9309999956 | $4.00 |