0x7e1a628a4f39324df4283c8e74af30d8bcbb21cc
0x7e1a628a4f39324df4283c8e74af30d8bcbb21cc
- Realised P&L
- $3.45
- Volume
- $180.90
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.958 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.835 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.685 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.585 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.280 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.61at 0.268Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$2.56at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.15at 0.379Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:06 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:57 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:44 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:45 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:36 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |