PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kwamd

0x7e19035412af41563800e092e2d01efa0c94b07e

Realised P&L
$73.42
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$9.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.3300.315$6.29−$0.30
Jumper listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · Yes0.3300.185$3.70−$2.90
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 8PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 6AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 2AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 10PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 1AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 00:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.3$15.00
09-29 00:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.68$33.99
06-21 00:54Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?SELL0.04$4.00
06-21 00:54Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?SELL0.07322$7.32
05-15 14:23Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?SELL0.004$0.40
05-13 00:35Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0397232$3.97
04-26 00:14Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSELL0.22$2.95
04-26 00:14Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSELL0.77$33.03
04-26 00:12Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.219999985$8.88
04-26 00:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.7299999876$9.61
12-26 01:36Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.0893369251$8.95
12-18 22:34Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.051$2.04
12-04 13:53Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.089999996$20.00
12-04 13:53Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
12-04 13:52Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.2799999916$20.00