PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

322capital

0x7e1827a86edfc58e31bb38e86d4e892bb471872e

Realised P&L
$-21.5k
Volume
$1.24M
Markets traded
898
Open portfolio
$142.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded898
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? · Yes0.1120.539$28.81+$22.81
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · No0.6600.955$8.68+$2.68
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? · Yes0.0680.097$8.50+$2.50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3250.418$7.73+$1.73
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · Yes0.6600.780$7.09+$1.09
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? · No0.9420.995$6.33+$0.33
Will Ana Dora Cabrera win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? · No0.9700.975$6.03+$0.03
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8300.830$6.00+$0.00
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? · No0.7300.719$5.91−$0.09
Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8800.865$5.90−$0.10
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? · Yes0.9500.925$5.84−$0.16
Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0080.007$5.63−$0.37
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6300.590$5.62−$0.38
Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8700.765$5.28−$0.72
Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7100.605$5.11−$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 14:52Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.31$250.00
09-23 13:32Dota 2: Two Move vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6999999994$250.00
09-23 07:16Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.79$121.22
09-22 15:11Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6199999992$250.00
09-22 11:36Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.54$250.00
09-22 09:28Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2769662227$250.00
09-21 21:16Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.5829999994$250.00
09-21 17:19Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5999999995$250.00
09-21 16:20Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5899999994$250.00
09-21 15:11Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5799999997$250.00
09-21 12:20Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.4499999996$250.00
09-21 11:55Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4336511728$250.00
09-21 09:35Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5099999994$250.00
09-21 08:20Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.24$68.89
09-20 19:17Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.1897890295$179.92