PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7e16422c35d67872932e8111AcdB4578D6457F14-1777124617012

0x7e16422c35d67872932e8111acdb4578d6457f14

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$99.1k
Markets traded
4,980
Open portfolio
$116.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,980
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2? · No0.7400.998$26.96+$6.96
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3? · No0.7200.840$23.33+$3.33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? · No0.7900.760$19.24−$0.76
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 4? · No0.7780.785$18.63+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3? · No0.7560.525$13.88−$6.12
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4? · No0.8200.940$13.37+$1.70
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 3? · Yes0.1870.085$1.46−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 19? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$13.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 29? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 9? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$3.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 23:06Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
10-02 14:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 4?BUY0.7776776355$18.46
10-02 06:53Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.8203553735$11.67
10-02 06:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3?BUY0.7199999942$20.00
10-01 17:36Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3?BUY0.7562188991$20.00
10-01 16:30Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 3?BUY0.1870879441$3.21
10-01 06:45Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.6399720544$16.21
09-30 21:35Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
09-30 19:45Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?BUY0.3799999996$20.00
09-29 16:29Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?BUY0.8$15.54
09-29 14:47Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.6058707252$16.07
09-29 13:50Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.699999993$20.00
09-29 13:43Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.71$18.81
09-29 13:27Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 30?BUY0.1699999856$1.89
09-28 19:58Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 30?BUY0.82$4.61