piong98
0x7e1135c4e5d7d4037f9787a78738f362bd22e111
- Realised P&L
- $0.55
- Volume
- $555.18
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $11.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.89 | −$0.01 |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.997Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.08at 0.999Will "Star Search" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
- +$0.07at 0.999Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.04at 0.999Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.90 |
| 08-27 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 08-11 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 07-29 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.90 |
| 07-12 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.20 |
| 07-04 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.40 |
| 06-22 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9979999942 | $14.70 |
| 05-30 03:14 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.70 |
| 05-18 02:37 | Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.20 |
| 04-21 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.30 |
| 04-04 02:28 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 03-20 04:32 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.10 |
| 03-10 04:44 | Will "Nuremberg" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.10 |
| 03-01 04:51 | Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $82.00 |
| 02-10 05:38 | Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.999 | $75.00 |