PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

piong98

0x7e1135c4e5d7d4037f9787a78738f362bd22e111

Realised P&L
$0.55
Volume
$555.18
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$11.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No0.9990.998$11.89−$0.01
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 02:50Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26?BUY0.999$11.90
08-27 03:35Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28?BUY0.999$11.50
08-11 07:20Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 12?BUY0.999$11.50
07-29 04:02Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30?BUY0.999$10.90
07-12 02:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 13?BUY0.999$17.20
07-04 09:23Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 5?BUY0.999$5.40
06-22 06:37Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23?BUY0.9979999942$14.70
05-30 03:14Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 29, 2026?BUY0.999$16.70
05-18 02:37Will "Nemesis" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.998$14.20
04-21 05:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 22?BUY0.999$16.30
04-04 02:28Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?BUY0.999$45.00
03-20 04:32Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026?BUY0.998$9.10
03-10 04:44Will "Nuremberg" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.999$19.10
03-01 04:51Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY0.997$82.00
02-10 05:38Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)BUY0.999$75.00