b3828
0x7e0fa3bbc7f42a4c93982e22bc2fbb884aa1cf68
- Realised P&L
- $-315.64
- Volume
- $98.1k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $30.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $29.38 | −$88.14 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.57 | +$0.01 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.737 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$305.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.78at 0.860Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$18.83at 0.260Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$17.55at 0.800Maduro out in 2025?
- +$7.83at 0.930Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$4.35at 0.942Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 10:35 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9929999969 | $132.00 |
| 04-09 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.99 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999713 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999713 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:25 | Will Solana dip to $20 in March? | BUY | 0.9959999868 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Solana dip to $10 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9939999858 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 03-10 13:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.00 |
| 01-28 04:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | SELL | 0.805 | $4.88 |