messi168
0x7e076e31b532c90cf2326b381ddf6e1acca6780a
- Realised P&L
- $679.42
- Volume
- $52.9k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $75.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.06at 0.203Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 19?
- +$110.87at 0.407Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 8?
- +$65.57at 0.872Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 20?
- +$49.03at 0.936Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 5?
- +$45.60at 0.770Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.95 | $45.15 |
| 10-12 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.62 | $27.90 |
| 10-11 18:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.67 |
| 10-11 10:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.21 | $19.84 |
| 10-11 06:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.8995294561 | $95.58 |
| 10-10 14:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.6944444444 | $31.25 |
| 10-10 10:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-10 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 10-09 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.986720841 | $138.91 |
| 10-09 23:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 10-09 16:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0513246753 | $1.58 |
| 10-09 16:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 10-09 15:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 10-09 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.94 |