PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

messi168

0x7e076e31b532c90cf2326b381ddf6e1acca6780a

Realised P&L
$679.42
Volume
$52.9k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$75.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12? · No0.9500.955$45.39+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12? · No0.6200.630$28.35+$0.45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? · Yes0.2100.022$2.08−$17.76
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10? · Yes0.0510.001$0.02−$1.57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$6.90
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 8? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$12.07
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 2? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.36
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 20? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$0.27
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00−$3.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 23? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.65
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 13? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.87
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 2? · No0.1470.000$0.00−$25.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 00:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.95$45.15
10-12 00:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12?BUY0.62$27.90
10-11 18:17Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12?SELL0.996$39.67
10-11 10:47Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?BUY0.21$19.84
10-11 06:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12?BUY0.8995294561$95.58
10-10 14:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?SELL0.6944444444$31.25
10-10 10:06Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?BUY0.5$2.50
10-10 10:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?BUY0.5$20.00
10-09 23:28Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10?BUY0.987$19.74
10-09 23:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C or below on October 10?BUY0.986720841$138.91
10-09 23:17Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?SELL0.99$59.40
10-09 16:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.0513246753$1.58
10-09 16:08Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.73$29.20
10-09 15:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.72$14.40
10-09 14:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?SELL0.999$47.94