PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kakilambe

0x7e04d1d00bc847f478b9314522210e12b5fec004

Realised P&L
$-12.4k
Volume
$1.84M
Markets traded
1,326
Open portfolio
$9.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,326
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3? · No0.0190.002$9.01−$75.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.4660.000$0.00−$92.00
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$60.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down0.0930.000$0.00−$16.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.2380.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6150.000$0.00−$49.40
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.0790.000$0.00−$55.00
Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Warriors0.0950.000$0.00−$76.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00−$2.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$15.60
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on July 29 at 5PM ET? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$34.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$7.87
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25? · No0.0150.000$0.00−$9.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 1?BUY0.005$1.93
10-31 18:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.003$0.61
10-31 18:35Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.003$3.54
10-31 17:17Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 31?BUY0.09$19.80
10-31 16:27Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.01$6.07
10-31 16:26Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3?BUY0.019$38.00
10-31 16:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on October 31?BUY0.00738875$7.39
10-31 16:21Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.01$5.31
10-31 16:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3?BUY0.0187475$37.49
10-31 16:18Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 3?BUY0.017$8.59
10-31 16:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.006$3.17
10-31 16:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?BUY0.004$0.42
10-19 00:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?BUY0.015$10.70
10-18 14:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?BUY0.014$11.73
10-18 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?BUY0.013$9.78