QJC
0x7dfe4f4e9fdd255c30d595b7f87468f3e8007aaf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $154.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.74at 0.760Spurs vs. Clippers
- +$84.19at 0.415Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$67.83at 0.401Chiefs vs. Cowboys
- +$55.00at 0.420US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
- +$47.91at 0.343Chiefs vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 14:00 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 14:00 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-21 13:58 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 04-10 18:20 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 04-10 18:19 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $0.37 |
| 04-07 23:20 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 04-07 04:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 04-07 04:14 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.14 |
| 03-24 23:22 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.25 | $60.98 |
| 03-24 23:22 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.6306673837 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 14:54 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 02:02 | Spurs vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $300.00 |
| 01-25 00:32 | Spread: Patriots (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $200.00 |
| 01-25 00:27 | Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | BUY | 0.115942029 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 00:25 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |