PolyBot

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Traders

ChatGPTPredicts

0x7dfb156946f0ccf7cf93b81e4d51686b49df9768

Realised P&L
$-85.16
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$14.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.1900.165$8.68$1.32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5300.155$2.92$7.08
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0940.025$2.61$7.39
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · No0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 23:41Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$10.00
06-20 20:31Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
06-16 19:47Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
06-16 19:47Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-13 22:16Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
05-29 20:01World Championships: Canada vs. FinlandBUY0.3599999904$15.00
05-29 19:58US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
03-27 06:11Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.32$10.00
03-27 06:09Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?BUY0.179999987$10.00
03-27 06:06Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?BUY0.0938398329$10.00
02-27 22:38Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.189999988$10.00
02-27 22:37US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.17$9.44
02-27 22:36US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
11-04 11:20Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 1-8?BUY0.1$2.32
11-02 18:05Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?BUY0.3499999615$5.00