ChatGPTPredicts
0x7dfb156946f0ccf7cf93b81e4d51686b49df9768
- Realised P&L
- $-85.16
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $14.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $8.68 | −$1.32 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.155 | $2.92 | −$7.08 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.025 | $2.61 | −$7.39 |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.00at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$30.27at 0.370Will Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?
- +$26.38at 0.367World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
- +$10.83at 0.480Chiefs vs. 49ers
- +$1.25at 0.100Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 1-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 23:41 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 20:31 | Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 19:47 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 19:47 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 22:16 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 20:01 | World Championships: Canada vs. Finland | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $15.00 |
| 05-29 19:58 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 06:11 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 06:09 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 06:06 | Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | BUY | 0.0938398329 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 22:38 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 22:37 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $9.44 |
| 02-27 22:36 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 11-04 11:20 | Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 1-8? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.32 |
| 11-02 18:05 | Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |