PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7dfac4385200dde9f68c1c8c40116313f4385803

0x7dfac4385200dde9f68c1c8c40116313f4385803

Realised P&L
$-25.98
Volume
$335.82
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$18.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? · Yes0.8181.000$12.22+$2.22
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.8200.957$6.70+$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 09:39Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?BUY0.817999999$10.00
03-30 21:18Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.2$5.80
03-30 19:35Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.82$5.74
03-30 19:35Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?BUY0.76$6.08
03-26 18:31Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?BUY0.6089795918$29.84
03-25 20:22Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?BUY0.94$9.39
03-25 20:16Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?BUY0.96$9.60
03-25 20:15Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?BUY0.94$9.39
03-24 21:53Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?BUY0.41$9.02
03-24 21:40Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?BUY0.586$4.77
03-23 19:37Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 23 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?BUY0.85$20.28
03-23 19:35Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.87$13.92
03-23 19:19Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 23 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?BUY0.7885294118$26.81
03-22 17:12Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?BUY0.9829999952$12.00