Enginager
0x7df77c7e32ef587f277e8f4521883b58ac6540a1
- Realised P&L
- $45.53
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.003 | $0.14 | −$9.86 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.99at 0.203Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.10at 0.648Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
- +$6.72at 0.849Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$4.81at 0.677Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$4.61at 0.121Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 11:12 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.97 |
| 08-13 11:22 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $30.86 |
| 08-04 11:56 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.91 | $11.97 |
| 07-26 13:46 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.1738855847 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 13:45 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 11:51 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.602006681 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 00:55 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $19.59 |
| 07-08 00:34 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 00:33 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 07-08 00:25 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.91 |
| 07-07 17:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.18 | $15.25 |
| 07-03 00:16 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 23:32 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting? | BUY | 0.9617729655 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 12:06 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting? | BUY | 0.9846875585 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 11:52 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $12.27 |