0x7dF6F6CECDc8546b7BDd513aab77eFE33eDa567F-1769629684346
0x7df6f6cecdc8546b7bdd513aab77efe33eda567f
- Realised P&L
- $-38.31
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $71.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.065 | $45.61 | −$154.39 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.065 | $25.49 | −$174.51 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.00 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$449.92at 0.480US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-4.84at 0.420Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 16:38 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 03-02 12:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 03-02 12:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $195.16 |
| 03-02 11:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 03-02 11:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $150.00 |
| 03-01 20:43 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2850360154 | $200.00 |
| 01-30 13:09 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999984 | $58.00 |
| 01-30 13:05 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 01-29 12:03 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $454.08 |