0x7df613c9e404fc6c9d3d765773251f1a2f9d66da
0x7df613c9e404fc6c9d3d765773251f1a2f9d66da
- Realised P&L
- $0.38
- Volume
- $401.20
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.385 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.590 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.310US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:26 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:13 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:17 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:13 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:34 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 04:01 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.231884058 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 08:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 00:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:41 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 14:41 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |