PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

unsane2

0x7de7e779e6a7acc5f46cc24c74d51a6b3b23ef81

Realised P&L
$958.88
Volume
$62.0k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$110.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.434$43.40+$23.40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes0.0420.048$28.88+$3.34
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September? · Yes0.0230.035$17.50+$6.00
Will Solana reach $170 in September? · Yes0.0180.018$5.55+$0.15
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes0.0140.007$3.50$3.50
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? · Yes0.0400.017$3.30$4.70
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.006$3.25$0.25
Will Solana dip to $40 in September? · Yes0.0120.004$1.75$4.25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · Yes0.0230.004$1.75$9.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0310.004$1.24$8.37
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$6.20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.10
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$4.50
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$7.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 17:25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.042$25.54
08-21 02:58Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August?SELL0.002$0.60
08-21 02:58Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?SELL0.154285$61.71
08-21 02:57Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?SELL0.001$0.20
08-21 02:57Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?SELL0.5350240605$267.51
08-03 23:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.12$7.20
08-01 20:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.07$4.20
08-01 20:47Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?BUY0.023$9.20
08-01 20:46Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?BUY0.013$2.60
07-02 14:50Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?BUY0.024$11.23
07-02 14:49Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.03$7.41
06-22 03:39Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.0681721818$7.50
06-22 03:38Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.11$22.00
06-22 03:38Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.05$20.00
06-22 03:38Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0119262036$49.20