0x7ddee10c76d1a05382661835c2db4047541aef0d
0x7ddee10c76d1a05382661835c2db4047541aef0d
- Realised P&L
- $-6.76
- Volume
- $893.77
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $13.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No | 0.590 | 0.845 | $7.16 | +$2.16 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? · No | 0.580 | 0.740 | $3.51 | +$0.76 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · No | 0.610 | 0.690 | $1.29 | +$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No | 0.850 | 0.925 | $1.27 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.14at 0.075Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$15.78at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$7.35at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
- +$6.13at 0.461Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
- +$6.13at 0.461Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 16:32 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? | BUY | 0.6099998234 | $1.14 |
| 10-07 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.5799999156 | $2.75 |
| 10-05 04:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.951999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9829999942 | $1.19 |
| 10-01 17:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.8499999274 | $1.17 |
| 10-01 17:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2? | BUY | 0.962999986 | $1.92 |
| 10-01 17:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 04:46 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9099999123 | $2.49 |
| 10-01 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3967466772 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 17:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999295 | $1.17 |
| 09-26 17:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.0189999998 | $1.60 |