event007
0x7dd88af7dfec59fed0b08c1227cb7b15327515fc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $350.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,033
- Open portfolio
- $109.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,033
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 8? · No | 0.972 | 1.000 | $109.94 | +$3.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28? · Down | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$326.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.09at 0.766Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 7?
- +$47.64at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$39.81at 0.834TikTok sale announced by October 31?
- +$31.34at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$30.34at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 10-08 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.1k |
| 10-08 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.92 |
| 10-08 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.89 |
| 10-08 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $63.72 |
| 10-07 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $255.23 |
| 10-07 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 10-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $702.00 |
| 10-01 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.995 | $96.63 |
| 09-29 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $540.74 |
| 09-29 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $715.38 |
| 09-27 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $82.25 |
| 09-27 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.30 |
| 09-27 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.84 |
| 09-27 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |