0x7dcF67e41483cA38A6Db54924EC5E5EDBfCBA4E5-1782112732655
0x7dcf67e41483ca38a6db54924ec5e5edbfcba4e5
- Realised P&L
- $-65.53
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $197.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.310 | $145.70 | +$13.80 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.215 | $52.00 | +$5.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.36at 0.527Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$131.87at 0.560Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$63.81at 0.360Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
- +$58.00at 0.420Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$39.55at 0.693GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.27867 | $83.60 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.80 |
| 11-01 16:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 16:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 15:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 15:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.38 |
| 10-31 11:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.84 |
| 10-30 09:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0055848164 | $2.42 |
| 10-23 20:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 10-22 11:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 10-13 16:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.801 | $240.30 |
| 10-13 16:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.801 | $240.30 |
| 09-08 16:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $60.33 |
| 09-08 16:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59522 | $59.52 |