0x7dbfc204F14eDbe19706A33f2F185193718FE29E-1773406762108
0x7dbfc204f14edbe19706a33f2f185193718fe29e
- Realised P&L
- $-191.69
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $3.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.94at 0.167Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$33.46at 0.130Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$13.66at 0.133Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
- +$12.30at 0.289Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$10.63at 0.490Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:17 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0257603757 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 02:21 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.56 |
| 06-18 13:41 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.55 |
| 06-09 14:44 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0109850416 | $14.27 |
| 06-08 00:09 | Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | SELL | 0.9708621076 | $8.66 |
| 06-07 01:36 | Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 01:26 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.65 | $11.60 |
| 06-01 13:10 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.21 | $16.59 |
| 05-31 15:48 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.954 | $13.43 |
| 05-29 02:01 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 13:57 | Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0530815255 | $14.32 |
| 05-26 13:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 05-26 05:25 | Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 05:24 | Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 00:04 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.983 | $11.70 |