0x7db96f54ede7aa38a375ab2008f4f819272495eb
0x7db96f54ede7aa38a375ab2008f4f819272495eb
- Realised P&L
- $-794.17
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $44.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up | 0.512 | 1.000 | $44.79 | +$21.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down | 0.484 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.87 |
| Will Martinique win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.71 |
| Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.09at 0.117ITF Strasbourg: Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel
- +$42.82at 0.457Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
- +$40.56at 0.530Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score
- +$32.82at 0.520Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
- +$26.91at 0.527Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $1.77 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999055 | $1.76 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999102 | $1.76 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999102 | $1.76 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998551 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999151 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999497 | $3.55 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999102 | $1.76 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999898 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998064 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999834 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998064 | $1.06 |
| 09-29 01:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999151 | $1.06 |