3hxwh2L
0x7db92bd6a099e4d029c0e2794e6b5f9240c9834a
- Realised P&L
- $25.92
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $44.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.671 | 0.630 | $23.74 | −$1.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.280 | $12.78 | +$4.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.105 | $8.33 | −$11.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.55at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?
- +$9.13at 0.595Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?
- +$8.84at 0.636Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?
- +$6.41at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 7?
- +$5.33at 0.823Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.1746627245 | $7.98 |
| 10-11 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2509565217 | $19.91 |
| 10-11 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6709872611 | $25.28 |
| 10-10 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.83 | $23.24 |
| 10-10 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.78 | $21.84 |
| 10-10 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.99 | $31.71 |
| 10-10 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8156353419 | $26.12 |
| 10-09 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.8756459627 | $14.10 |
| 10-09 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.86 | $15.54 |
| 10-09 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 10-09 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5823909862 | $19.90 |
| 10-09 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.415 | $20.75 |
| 10-08 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $27.15 |
| 10-08 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.867432135 | $23.65 |
| 10-08 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.2270077085 | $6.48 |