manofa81
0x7da7265908c12899729a88417695cc502c3a7ee6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.30
- Volume
- $111.58
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $6.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.885 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.240 | $0.77 | −$1.23 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.009 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.07at 0.210Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:05 | Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:03 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0203883491 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 09:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 11:33 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.93 |
| 09-07 11:44 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 10:23 | Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |