PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manofa81

0x7da7265908c12899729a88417695cc502c3a7ee6

Realised P&L
$-6.30
Volume
$111.58
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$6.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.8600.885$5.15+$0.15
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.6200.240$0.77$1.23
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes0.0200.009$0.47$0.53
Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1700.065$0.38$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:05Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-14 10:03Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.0203883491$1.00
09-14 09:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.86$5.00
09-08 11:33Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.039$0.93
09-07 11:44Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.209999974$5.00
09-07 10:23Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.619999969$2.00