mirotvorets
0x7d9d476786b0c811d89fdeca2f9ee0e9fd3b3c52
- Realised P&L
- $-22.5k
- Volume
- $1.70M
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $44.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Panthers (-4.5) · Panthers | 0.400 | 0.510 | $14.7k | +$3.2k |
| Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.425 | $10.9k | −$644.00 |
| Spread: Broncos (-3.5) · Broncos | 0.430 | 0.425 | $7.6k | −$89.00 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Packers | 0.441 | 0.435 | $5.7k | −$84.99 |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) · Packers | 0.430 | 0.400 | $5.0k | −$373.80 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) · Texans | 0.440 | 0.475 | $864.50 | +$63.70 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) · Cowboys | 0.450 | 0.460 | $16.56 | +$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.3kat 0.290Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$22.3kat 0.460United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$16.8kat 0.691Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$16.3kat 0.602Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
- +$15.7kat 0.557Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:11 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $855.00 |
| 09-20 17:09 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | SELL | 0.43 | $43.86 |
| 09-20 17:08 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $1.7k |
| 09-20 17:08 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $836.00 |
| 09-20 17:07 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $836.00 |
| 09-20 17:07 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $836.00 |
| 09-20 17:06 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $836.00 |
| 09-20 16:41 | Spread: Packers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $5.4k |
| 09-20 14:44 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $7.7k |
| 09-20 14:43 | Spread: Panthers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $11.5k |
| 09-20 14:40 | Spread: Texans (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $800.80 |
| 09-20 13:35 | Packers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5 | SELL | 0.44 | $184.80 |
| 09-19 14:39 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $15.12 |
| 09-18 17:25 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | SELL | 0.44 | $49.37 |
| 09-16 20:14 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.9078043502 | $3.3k |