mikesports
0x7d92fd69504bfd391162e1442cb784c0af408676
- Realised P&L
- $-1.01M
- Volume
- $28.10M
- Markets traded
- 1,172
- Open portfolio
- $110.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,172
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $94.04 | −$3.6k |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) · Giants | 0.560 | 0.001 | $10.00 | −$11.2k |
| T20 India vs Afghanistan: Afghanistan vs India · India | 0.990 | 0.500 | $3.96 | −$3.88 |
| Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.5k |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.0k |
| Will Anapolis FC GO win on 2026-08-10? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.4k |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Bucks vs. Clippers · Bucks | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota State Bison · North Dakota State Bison | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon · Hon | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$850.00 |
| Fresno State vs. USC · Fresno State | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) · Ignacio Bahamondes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.5k |
| Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic · Amanda Anisimova | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$185.7kat 0.20476ers vs. Celtics
- +$166.6kat 0.020Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$121.5kat 0.261SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
- +$113.1kat 0.432TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
- +$99.3kat 0.447Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:57 | NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $122.40 |
| 09-21 19:28 | Spread: Rams (-7.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $3.4k |
| 09-20 22:31 | Colts vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.64 | $1.6k |
| 09-20 15:24 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.39 | $3.9k |
| 09-20 02:07 | James Madison vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.43 | $80.25 |
| 09-20 01:44 | Purdue vs. UCLA | BUY | 0.16 | $56.80 |
| 09-19 22:47 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.59 | $5.6k |
| 09-19 14:39 | Spread: LSU (-3.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $1.6k |
| 09-19 00:57 | Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.2k |
| 09-19 00:46 | Will Club Puebla vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $786.74 |
| 09-19 00:45 | Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.61 | $614.26 |
| 09-19 00:31 | Will Club Puebla vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $6.8k |
| 09-18 17:53 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.15 | $253.78 |
| 09-18 17:29 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $585.91 |
| 09-18 16:16 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.54 | $320.12 |