torredonhimeno13
0x7d90fcaaaaac8103876ca2bd0a1373f5ebc5cf08
- Realised P&L
- $122.19
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 552
- Open portfolio
- $236.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded552
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.485 | $194.00 | +$42.00 |
| Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.095 | $14.02 | −$5.76 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.765 | $8.38 | +$1.26 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.120 | $8.35 | −$46.65 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.385 | $8.32 | +$2.48 |
| Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.095 | $3.90 | −$1.44 |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) · Bucks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) · Mavericks | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pacers vs. Magic · Pacers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Zero" during astronaut greeting? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) · Jazz | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.43at 0.009Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
- +$127.73at 0.190Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?
- +$105.00at 0.160Jazz vs. Cavaliers
- +$105.00at 0.160Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$105.00at 0.160Timberwolves vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 17:12 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 07-20 17:08 | Will Intel say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 06-12 12:07 | Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 16:28 | Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1180930587 | $12.39 |
| 05-20 07:58 | Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $18.89 |
| 05-20 07:58 | Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7112 | $142.24 |
| 04-30 09:30 | Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:11 | Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.42 |
| 04-29 21:10 | Will Trump say "Apollo" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:10 | Will Trump say "Mars" 2+ times during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.0233400406 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 21:09 | Will Trump say "Lunar" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.0220952274 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 21:09 | Will Trump say "Record" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:09 | Will Trump say "Zero" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.027184467 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Will Trump say "Baby" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.0283018596 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 21:08 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during astronaut greeting? | BUY | 0.02491102 | $2.00 |