0x7d9030c329624fae04d3138a4aec3c396a206422
0x7d9030c329624fae04d3138a4aec3c396a206422
- Realised P&L
- $-3.51
- Volume
- $310.08
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $3.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.770 | 0.815 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.745 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.265 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 01:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:05 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:05 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999555 | $1.46 |
| 09-20 08:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 07:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:08 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:08 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:05 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 09:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |