PolyBot

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Traders

Grimel

0x7d8d9d8543d7de1eddfb1fb0e06f131d5129f40d

Realised P&L
$635.92
Volume
$61.9k
Markets traded
1,642
Open portfolio
$74.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,642
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.7190.822$28.75+$3.58
Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · Natus Vincere0.5700.565$11.30−$0.10
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · Yes0.7300.770$7.70+$0.40
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.3700.414$4.14+$0.44
Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.0780.080$2.80+$0.07
Will José Luis Morey Requejo win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.1060.136$2.72+$0.60
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · Yes0.2300.145$2.17−$1.27
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.0350.059$2.05+$0.82
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Xtreme Gaming0.3900.395$1.98+$0.03
Will John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.0300.087$1.74+$1.14
Will Guillermo Chávez Timoteo win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.0150.052$1.05+$0.75
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner · Team Nemesis0.1900.195$0.97+$0.03
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner · Team Nemesis0.1900.195$0.97+$0.03
Will Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.0100.047$0.94+$0.74
Will Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde win the next Piura mayoral elections? · Yes0.0200.046$0.93+$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:52Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?BUY0.37$3.70
09-27 18:23Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?BUY0.79$3.95
09-27 14:26Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.68$10.20
09-27 14:24Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.39$7.80
09-27 14:00Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.72$7.20
09-27 13:06Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?BUY0.816$4.08
09-27 10:21Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$19.98
09-27 08:05Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4$4.00
09-26 16:18Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.84$4.20
09-26 15:25Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.21$3.15
09-26 14:35Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.38$5.70
09-26 14:33Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$19.98
09-26 13:12Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$29.97
09-26 10:08Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.41$6.15
09-26 09:23Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$44.95