walkerleslie
0x7d8c3e2a3f92b7ae20fd4252fed6b07cd5f602a5
- Realised P&L
- $12.57
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $73.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B · Team Vitality | 0.550 | 0.545 | $29.75 | −$0.27 |
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.870 | 1.000 | $23.08 | +$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.490 | $20.23 | −$2.89 |
| M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw: Completed Match: Robert Strombachs vs Fares Zakaria · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.540Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
- +$3.26at 0.970Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.55at 0.985Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.52at 0.986Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
- +$1.42at 0.987Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.40 |
| 01-30 15:09 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.41 |
| 01-30 15:02 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.08 |
| 01-30 14:53 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.96 |
| 01-30 13:05 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.56 |
| 12-30 14:25 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 12-30 14:10 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.35 |
| 12-30 13:42 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.96 |
| 12-30 09:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997999962 | $20.02 |
| 12-29 20:11 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.24 |
| 12-29 19:24 | Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $73.04 |
| 10-30 21:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9889999882 | $35.38 |
| 10-30 18:41 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.35 |
| 09-29 15:55 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.53 |
| 09-29 15:50 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995999944 | $10.67 |