0x7d7b72E7D37a3965d5c548178f61bb6C37728677-1768480971441
0x7d7b72e7d37a3965d5c548178f61bb6c37728677
- Realised P&L
- $-211.84
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $2.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.984 | 0.944 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.665 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.964 | 0.593 | $0.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.95 |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.59 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on March 20? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 22? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
- +$5.98at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.91at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
- +$5.60at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$5.49at 0.901Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 00:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $16.00 |
| 09-18 10:41 | Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:41 | Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.963 | $0.99 |
| 09-11 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999958 | $79.95 |
| 08-26 14:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8759999993 | $71.36 |
| 08-25 03:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.583 | $73.95 |
| 08-22 01:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7745742786 | $98.25 |
| 08-17 00:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $118.00 |
| 08-17 00:19 | Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.98 |
| 08-01 07:26 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.17 |
| 07-14 09:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $96.00 |
| 07-14 09:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.977 | $95.72 |
| 07-06 09:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.938999997 | $92.00 |
| 07-06 09:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | SELL | 0.62 | $52.54 |
| 07-03 21:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $50.00 |