richardmejia
0x7d73c1499d13559f5ed821ded172a928c329735f
- Realised P&L
- $-64.40
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $51.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · No | 0.720 | 0.885 | $35.21 | +$6.57 |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.655 | $15.44 | +$2.71 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13? · Yes | 0.807 | 0.926 | $0.93 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.57at 0.549Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$13.42at 0.689Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$6.14at 0.750Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
- +$2.24at 0.286Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.55at 0.967Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:11 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.59 |
| 01-31 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.94 |
| 01-30 18:38 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.35 |
| 01-30 15:02 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.81 |
| 01-30 14:18 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.76 |
| 12-30 10:22 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.29 |
| 12-30 02:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.996999991 | $4.87 |
| 12-30 02:02 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.62 |
| 12-29 23:49 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.99799998 | $20.11 |
| 12-29 20:59 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.76 |
| 10-31 00:40 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.35 |
| 10-30 21:37 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.56 |
| 10-30 18:54 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.62 |
| 09-29 09:31 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 09-28 21:09 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.70 |