dbc3000
0x7d71f569b290dc1683ec28c7847edc0d0eb660dc
- Realised P&L
- $82.22
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $14.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 27? · No | 0.960 | 0.990 | $5.94 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.960 | 0.998 | $4.74 | +$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25? · No | 0.960 | 0.675 | $4.05 | −$1.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.36at 0.785Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$13.09at 0.736Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$11.15at 0.757Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$6.79at 0.716Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
- +$6.75at 0.726Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 09-23 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on September 24? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.76 |
| 09-22 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-22 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-22 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-22 00:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-19 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-16 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 09-15 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-12 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.9283333333 | $5.57 |