0x7d70248c920ce45d9093859a4d032c84a37f568e
0x7d70248c920ce45d9093859a4d032c84a37f568e
- Realised P&L
- $-50.14
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $46.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.00at 0.133Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?
- +$12.80at 0.240Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
- +$12.50at 0.250Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
- +$7.80at 0.110Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25?
- +$7.80at 0.110Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 07:11 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 10-12 11:59 | Will Canza launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.30 |
| 10-12 11:59 | North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 10-12 11:58 | Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-12 11:58 | Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-12 11:57 | Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $15 in 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 10-12 11:56 | Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.34 |
| 10-12 11:56 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.42 |
| 10-12 11:55 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-09 13:27 | Will Solana hit $150 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-09 13:27 | Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-09 13:26 | Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.67 | $8.18 |
| 10-09 13:26 | Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |