kksliding
0x7d6d73e0784c37499733353c1e160d835de1c063
- Realised P&L
- $171.24
- Volume
- $35.8k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $0.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$8.94 |
| Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$14.98 |
| Nuggets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Clippers vs. Cavaliers · Clippers | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons · 76ers | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Heat vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Heat vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Magic vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Hawks vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Warriors vs. Heat · Warriors | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.86at 0.035Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$73.55at 0.079Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup?
- +$54.66at 0.496Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$42.02at 0.475Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$32.77at 0.565Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 06:08 | Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.0017 | $0.17 |
| 04-18 03:44 | Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.3583075445 | $9.00 |
| 04-18 03:43 | Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.3060666682 | $15.00 |
| 04-16 06:15 | Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 04-16 06:09 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0349999935 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 06:09 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016 | $8.00 |
| 04-16 06:09 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 06:08 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 02:30 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.75 | $46.45 |
| 02-21 02:28 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.50 |
| 02-21 02:28 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.0235694062 | $10.96 |
| 02-21 02:28 | Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.049538163 | $2.68 |
| 02-21 02:28 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.32 |
| 01-17 17:01 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.44 | $19.80 |
| 01-17 17:01 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $76.98 |